Maritime Connectivity Competition Hitting Iridium
Iridium shares tumbled Thursday as the company announced Q2 results that included lowering its services revenue outlook for 2025. In a call with analysts, CEO Matt Desch said service revenue is expected to grow 3%-5% this year, instead of its…
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previous forecast of 5%-7%. Desch chalked up that lower estimate to increased maritime broadband competition, voice subscriptions losses related to canceled U.S. Agency for International Development funding and some positioning, navigation and timing revenue that is now expected to arrive in 2026 instead of this year. William Blair's Louie DiPalma wrote investors that SpaceX was "the primary culprit," with maritime customers shifting from Iridium's satellite network to Starlink. Though many of those customers still use Iridium as a backup, that arrangement generates less revenue, he said. While Iridium expects broadband pricing pressure into 2026, the company raised prices for its commercial satellite phone plans on July 1, which is expected to result in satellite phone service revenue growth accelerating in the second half, DiPalma said. Desch said Iridium has signed several memorandums of understanding with mobile network operators for Iridium's NTN Direct narrowband IoT service, with NTN Direct to launch in 2026. Iridium stock closed Thursday at $25.26, down $7.17.