The phase one “economic and trade agreement” the U.S. and China signed Jan. 15 will take effect in 30 days and can be terminated by either country with 60 days' written notice, the deal's text said. Phase one is “a big step toward normalizing our trading relationship with China,” the Consumer Technology Association said, but “market uncertainty remains until we see permanent tariff removal.” The National Retail Federation also welcomed phase one but said phase two “can’t come soon enough.”
The tariffs on billions of dollars worth of European goods because the World Trade Organization found the EU illegally subsidized Airbus puts Europe in a position where it will need to take similar action, assuming the WTO rules that state tax credits for Boeing also distorted trade. “This is where I don't want to be,” European Union Commissioner Phil Hogan said during a press roundtable with reporters late Jan. 16.
China will buy nearly $80 billion worth of additional manufactured goods from the U.S. over the next two years as part of the U.S.-China phase one trade deal (see 1912310010), according to a Jan. 14 report from Reuters. As part of the deal, China will also buy more than $50 billion worth of U.S. energy supplies and increase purchases of U.S. services by $35 billion over the same period, the report said. The agreement will also require China to increase its purchases of U.S. agricultural goods by $2 billion over two years at about $16 billion per year. The numbers, which represent a “staggering increase” over recent Chinese imports of U.S. manufactured goods, are expected to be announced Jan. 15 during a White House signing ceremony between President Donald Trump and China's Vice Premier Liu He, Reuters said. A China Foreign Ministry spokesman referred questions to the country's Commerce Ministry. “Please remain patient for a little while,” the spokesman said during a Jan. 14 press conference. “More information will come out in a couple of days.”
The panel deciding which French products should face Section 301 tariffs was intrigued by a point made by the Cheese Importers Association of America -- who could pay more on 21 Harmonized Tariff Schedule headings if all the proposed tariffs are included.
A bipartisan group of 161 House members are asking U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer to open negotiations for a free trade deal with Taiwan. The letter, sent Dec. 19, was led by Rep. Steve Chabot, R-Ohio, Rep. Albio Sires, D-N.J., Rep. Mario Diaz-Balart, R-Fla., and Rep. Gerry Connolly, D-Va. “Taiwan is a longstanding ally and a like-minded partner in the Indo-Pacific region that upholds and shares our values. Taiwan is our 11th largest trading partner worldwide, the 8th largest export market for U.S. agricultural products, a major purchaser of U.S. LNG exports, and the supplier of a significant amount of the semiconductors used by our manufacturers in their finished goods,” they said. “As the trade and investment relationship with Taiwan already supports an estimated 373,000 U.S. jobs, working toward the negotiation of a high-standard and comprehensive U.S.-Taiwan bilateral trade agreement would further enhance our shared goal of enhancing the global competitiveness of U.S. industries while spurring American job creation.”
With the announcement of a phase one deal, Flexport chief economist Phil Levy said the promise is for stability in tariff levels -- even if the large majority of goods facing Section 301 tariffs will retain the 25 percent hike. But, he noted in a Dec. 16 webinar, many times over the last eight months, “a deal was announced, and it didn't last. That should sort of serve as a precautionary tale.” Levy, like many observers, doesn't believe that a phase two deal, that could lead to rolling back more tariffs, is likely in the next year.
The phase one trade deal (see 1912130035) between the U.S. and China has reduced Chinese “market uncertainty” and the two sides should cancel the remaining tariffs, a spokesman for China’s National Bureau of Statistics said during a Dec. 16 press conference. “It has strengthened market confidence and promoted economic and trade development, both for China and the United States, and for the world,” Fu Linghui said, according to an unofficial translation. “[It is] positive.” He also said the countries are continuing negotiations and should cancel “the levy of tariffs in stages, contributing more power to world economic growth.”
House Democrats and the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative say that the new NAFTA can serve as a template for future trade deals, but experts question how that might come to pass, and a key Republican wants at least one Republican priority restored in future deals.
President Donald Trump tweeted Dec. 12 that U.S. and China negotiators are “Getting VERY close to a BIG DEAL with China. They want it, and so do we!” However, Trump has said before that the two sides were very close -- including two months ago -- and nothing came of it. Numerous media outlets reported Dec. 12 that administration officials said an agreement in principle has been reached between China and the U.S., but no announcement had been made by press time. Several media outlets reported that the U.S. was willing to cancel tariffs set to take effect Dec. 15 and cut existing Section 301 tariffs by half, and an adviser to the president said Trump would cut tariffs, but did not say by how much. An announcement is expected on Dec. 13.
Agriculture Secretary Sonny Perdue said he doesn't expect the Dec. 15 round of tariffs on consumer goods from China to go into effect then, according to Bloomberg News.“I do not believe those will be implemented and I think we may see some backing away,” Purdue said at a conference in Indianapolis on Dec. 9.