Trade lawyers talking about changes to NAFTA's rule of origin said they're fairly optimistic the trade deal rewrite will be ratified in Congress in 2019. But aside from the auto sector, which has a multiyear transition period, they're concerned that by the time ratification comes, there won't be time for importers and exporters to adjust by Jan. 1, 2020, when the replacement agreement is supposed to be in force.
House Ways and Means Trade Subcommittee Chairman Earl Blumenauer said he thinks the House could be able to have a vote in the fall on the new NAFTA. Blumenauer, from Oregon and one of nine House Democrats who are tasked with negotiating changes to the deal with U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer, said he expects the group will meet with USTR "at least once a week." Speaking at a Washington International Trade Association event June 26, he joked that Lighthizer spends so much time meeting with House members and caucuses, "I think he travels the world just to get away from us." Lighthizer is on his way to Osaka, Japan, for the G-20 meeting. He met with the working group the afternoon before he left.
Democrats on the working group asking for changes to the new NAFTA say the first meeting with U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer, on June 26, went well, and other Democrats on the left and center also expressed hope that Democrats are on the right path to get to ratification. Rep. John Larson, D-Conn., who's specializing in environmental issues on the working group, said it was a "great meeting." Larson, a senior member of the House Ways and Means Committee, added, "We're not there yet, I think Lighthizer has the right attitude, and his sleeves rolled up, and we're laying out our concerns, and hopefully we're going to get to yes."
During U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer's June 19 appearance before the crucial House Ways and Means Committee, there were a number of hints that a ratification of the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement is on the right track.
Senate Finance Committee Chairman Chuck Grassley, R-Iowa, who's been working for months on a compromise bill to address national security tariffs, said that an introduction won't happen until after the August recess. "We're trying to get a consensus on [Section] 232s, that isn't the easiest thing," he said. "But we're making some progress." He said, speaking to reporters on June 19, that he'd had meetings on the bill that day.
The Office of the U.S. Trade Representative will not automatically renew Section 301 product exclusions, USTR Robert Lighthizer told Rep. Jackie Walorksi during the June 19 House Ways and Means Committee hearing on the administration's trade policy. But Lighthizer told a California Democrat that his office is hiring employers and contractors and borrowing "a bunch of people" from other agencies to work on the flood of product exclusion requests that's expected.
When asked how negotiations are going with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer said that as far as he's concerned, her actions are "exactly as you would hope she would be." He also said, "The speaker has been completely fair and above board." The ratification of the new NAFTA must begin in the House of Representatives, and although Lighthizer was testifying June 18 in the Senate, everyone in the room knows Pelosi has the most power to determine the trade deal's fate.
Companies large and small, new and more than a century old all told government officials to keep apparel and footwear off the fourth list of Section 301 tariffs. The witnesses testified June 17, on the first of seven days of hearings from industries and trade groups about the possibility of additional 25 percent tariffs on nearly all Chinese imports that have not yet been targeted.
U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer faced criticism about President Donald Trump's China policy, which both Democrats and Republicans noted is hurting U.S. businesses and, if tariffs come on List 4, will dearly cost U.S. consumers. Lighthizer, who was testifying June 18 at the Senate Finance Committee about the administration's trade policy, said there's been no decision on whether there will be tariffs on another $300 billion in Chinese imports. "The president will make that decision in the next few weeks," he said, and if tariffs are levied, there will be an exclusion process. "We think we have been fair in granting exclusions," he said.
Last August, Mike Branson, executive vice president of Rheem Manufacturing's air conditioning division, warned that if 8145.90.80 wasn't added to Section 301 tariffs, Chinese air conditioner exporters would avoid tariffs on their goods (see 1808210011). On June 17, Branson was back at a Section 301 tariffs hearing saying that's exactly what's happening.